How to use the Coffee Can Stocks (Non-Banking) scanner?
This scanner gives you a list of Indian stocks based on the Coffee Can investing strategy. The phrase and concept ‘Coffee Can’ came from the Old West, from the early 19th century, when people would put their valuables like money and jewelry in a coffee can and keep it under the mattress for safekeeping.
Robert G. Kirby, one of the most successful American fund managers, popularized this strategy. The way Kirby developed this strategy is also enjoyable. When one of his clients died, Kirby accidentally came across the coffee can concept. He analyzed the deceased client’s investment portfolio and discovered that his client had been ignoring sell recommendations given by his firm for many years. The client had been putting away the share certificates in a box and had forgotten entirely about them. Interestingly, the client’s accidental patience helped his portfolio build a massive fortune over time.
Let’s learn a little about this investing strategy.
According to Robert G Kirby, there are some key areas to consider when searching for companies:
Market Capitalization
The strategy stresses companies with enough market capitalization to be fundamentally strong and stable. For Indian companies, we’ll take the minimum market capitalization of ₹10,000 crores. Data reliability on companies smaller than this size is somewhat susceptible, making them riskier.
Revenue Growth
This refers to the increase in sales of a product or service over time. Consistent sales growth suggests a healthy business trajectory, attracting investors seeking long-term returns and validating the company’s potential for future success. In this scanner, we have used a minimum revenue growth of 10% year-on-year (YoY), as Mr. Kirby prefers.
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
This financial ratio assesses a company’s profitability and capital efficiency. It indicates how effectively a company generates profits from its capital. A higher ROCE suggests better utilization of capital in generating profits. In this scanner, we filtered stocks with an ROCE of 15% for 10 years.
Debt to Equity Ratio
The debt-to-equity ratio measures a company’s financial leverage by comparing its total liabilities to shareholder equity. It indicates the proportion of debt used to finance the company’s assets. A high ratio suggests higher risk due to potential repayment issues, while a low ratio indicates financial stability and less risk. In this scanner, we filtered out companies whose debt-to-equity ratio is less than 0.5.
Net Profit Margin
This ratio measures the percentage of revenue that remains as profit after all expenses are deducted. It is calculated as (Net Profit / Revenue) * 100. Net profit margin helps us assess a company’s profitability, efficiency in cost management, and overall financial health, thereby helping us forecast potential returns on investment. In this scanner, we have filtered out companies with net profit margins greater than 10%.
Other than these factors, Mr. Robert Kirby’s preferred companies:
- That specialize in a particular niche and control a large part of the market, especially those reflecting a ‘MOAT.’
- Whose products are always in demand and represent an evergreen industry.
Using the above filters for the scanner, we have obtained a list of companies that are growing consistently and have cleared Mr. Kirby’s stock selection process.
Don’t forget
- This is a first-level filter aimed to give you a good starting point in your search for fundamentally strong companies that are growing at a stable rate. You can further analyze these stocks to ascertain if they are good businesses and command a seat in your investing portfolio.
- In this scanner, you find stocks in all sectors except banks, NBFCs, insurance providers, and financing companies because the performance of such companies need to be tracked using other metrics.
- Some companies are cyclical in nature and you have to analyze their historical data to track the company’s performance based on their nature of business.
Learn investing and valuation analysis with these courses
Coffee Can Strategy
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Frequently Asked Questions
Shall I buy all the stocks from this scanner?
No! This scanner is just to be used for idea generation. As mentioned in the ‘Don’t Forget’ section, this is just a first-level filter aimed to give you a starting point in your search for fundamentally strong companies for the long term. You can learn more about the coffee can strategy in our Coffee Can Investing Strategy course on Upsurge.club.
Shall I forget these stocks after buying?
The coffee can strategy is popular because of its simplicity. Though it is a ‘buy and hold’ strategy, it would be prudent to check your selected stocks at least once a year to watch out for any significant fundamental changes in any of them.
How can I learn more about investing in the right stocks?
Upsurge.club offers a range of courses on investing where you can learn everything from the basics to advanced strategies and idea generation methods. You can find them here.